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duduspace1 on 16 December 2018
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Intrinsic said:
PortisheadBiscuit said:

And they probably were trolling AT THAT TIME, because Wii was such an abberation, no one could've accurately predicted the trajectory when it was flying off the shelves and out of stock for 3 years. Any notion that Wii would have an abrupt slow down in demand wasn't based on analytics, because there were none. Everyone was caught off guard by Wii in both it's peak and valley including Nintendo. Bad analogy for this particular discussion. 

Unless they looked at the situation differently and considered factors that others didn't consider.

I have said that i do not see the NS doing more than 80M. Which isn't even a bad number anyways. And I have pointed out why I feel it wouldn't. If this somehow makes me a troll or having some sort of weird hidden agenda then thats ok I guess. 

80m is a fair and  reasonable estimate even if some believe it can do more. That is above 3DS and about PS3 territory. Very possible for the Switch particularly if it abruptly drops off like the Wii at its tail.

It is currently tracking above that though and Nintendo statements on its future point more towards a long tail. The SD to HD transition is one of the major reasons for the Wii's short tail. HD to 4K might have a similar effect for the Switch.