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PortisheadBiscuit said:
Farsala said:

Based on your logic, people would be trolling when they said the Wii had no chance of beating the PS2 despite tracking well ahead of it.

And they probably were trolling AT THAT TIME, because Wii was such an abberation, no one could've accurately predicted the trajectory when it was flying off the shelves and out of stock for 3 years. Any notion that Wii would have an abrupt slow down in demand wasn't based on analytics, because there were none. Everyone was caught off guard by Wii in both it's peak and valley including Nintendo. Bad analogy for this particular discussion. 

I would disagree. Almost all consoles drop off, especially Nintendo consoles. PS2 was the abberation by not dropping off, with a very poor PS3 to back it up late in life.