November NPD 2018 Thread

[DonFerrari]

peachbuggy said:

Intrinsic said:

Nope. I think everyone and their dog expects the switch to clean house this month. The real debate now is if it does 1.4M, 2M or 2.5M. Most (including myself) even expects the PS4 to do less than 1M. 

Thats an extreme way to look at it.

They arent all on board already. Point thuuogh is that nintendo has the largest "shared userbse" of the 3 platforms. Better way t look at it is that by the time the NS gets to 40M sold, subsequent releases from the usual staple of nintendo IPs will have less of an impact driving sales forward. This happens to all platforms mind you, its just in to be more serious with the switch.

Unless there are third parties or even nintendo bringing new IPs that are equally big and successful to the platform. Take the PS4 for instance. In addition to its usual staple of continuing franchises there were at least 2+ new AAA IPs released either by sony or a third party every single year. The XB1 didnt have that and as such its sales stagnated.

Just goes to show that games sells hardware.... but how and what those games are are equally important.  

Believe me, Nintendo's IP's have very dedicated, different (and vocal) individual fanbases. You may think it won't make much of a difference but i beg to differ. Plus, there are "new" players joining a consoles' infrastructure all the time, at times making these fanbases bigger. It's also already been addressed here before but so far Nintendo have only really gone after the HC crowd with their strategy/price point. Next year i believe, with Animal Crossing and Pokemon (HH orientated titles), they will begin to go after the HH crowd. So, probably expect a price cut to get nearer mass market HH price point. Then from that time onwards their dream of having multiple owners per household will become more of a possibility, whilst all the while the userbase will be growing to 50m+. So, all in all i don't see Switch market penetration becoming a problem at all at 40m+ userbase.

Sorry, but there have to be a lot of overlap on the fanbase, if that wasn't true it would be impossible to have so many games selling 5-10M on WiiU 15M userbase.

peachbuggy said:

DonFerrari said:

I haven't seem 3M yet.

And sure Smash will have a good showing, still 2.5M is really a lot. We will soon know anyway, best of luck to Switch breaking another record.

PS4 usually do similar Nov and Dec (due to BF deals) and since this year CM was on Nov, so it will do less on Dec vs Nov, I would say 1M is the number we will see.

Yes, i will look forward to it. (In a nice way!) Not sure it will break any records though, i'm pretty sure the Wii had more than 1 2.5m+ NPD. Smash will likely break records though, particularly the best ever opening month. (Not something to be sniffed at!)

Wii was a beast, but 2.5M in December would certainly be a gen record as far as I remember.