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Depends. If next year is mainly silent and MS has more firesales, I think they should achieve ~50M-55M when all is said and done. However, if next year is filled with PS5 talk for the last half of the year, you may see people skipping out on it (and PS4 to a lesser extent), looking forward to next gen. And if MS continues the same policy of releasing everything on PC and has more expensive HW at launch, I see the XB2 performing worse than the XBO.