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Farsala said:
A simple explanation for all of this is that NPD isn't always 100% accurate. So what do they do when they aren't accurate? They do adjustments just like VGC, but they don't adjust previous months. They adjust it within the next month, or future months. So in all seriousness, NPD could have overtracked the Switch up to October and the true LTD could have been less than or more than 7.3m. We won't ever know what adjustments they make but November NPD posted numbers could be wildly different than actual sales.

Not only that but NPD hasn't really been giving unit numbers for many months now.  All we have gotten are "leaks" and estimates from "aggregate Predictions" (which I fully understand is the best way for the insiders to do this without stepping on any NDAs) but at the end of the day, these numbers haven't been officially confirmed by any of the three companies, so we don't really know exactly how accurate these numbers are.