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Miyamotoo on 23 November 2018
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RolStoppable said:
quickrick said:

Last year it wasn't supply constrained   during the holidays until the very end December, and it was very minor, not enough to effect sales. i'm pretty sure switch won't sell 3 million, ill happily eat crow. i won all my bets so far BTW. The only one i have a chance of losing imo is the 5.2 million, switch might do 5.3 or 5.4.

Looks like you missed the point about supply constraints and Black Friday deals. Nintendo had no reason to offer any deals last year because the stock they did have was going to sell without special offers, therefore any sorts of deals would have only impacted their bottom line, but not raised unit sales. In theory, a $299 bundle with Mario Kart would have led to higher sales than ~800k in November 2017; but in praxis, Nintendo did not have the supply to get higher holiday sales than they did.

Regarding your bets, you won some because your Nintendo equivalents reacted to your hyperbole with hyperbole and set way higher goals than they needed to prove you wrong and it backfired on them. The 5.2m bet is different, because it granted you only some wiggle room - you said Switch would be flat year over year at best (4.88m).

I can confirm this, multiply time he said that Switch will be flat this year (that was after he said that Switch will fail of cliff after Holiday season), especially during Q3 (Oct-Dec) period, and thats funny because thes years Q3 will be much stronger than last years.

Last edited by Miyamotoo - on 23 November 2018