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Miyamotoo on 22 November 2018
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Intrinsic said:
Miyamotoo said: 

My bad.

Well yeah, Switch or some kind of Switch revision would need to have price point of at least $200 to start selling like device per person. Also its very possible that we will have smaller cheaper Switch revsion whithout dock just for handheld play.

I believe a revision will come eventually. But I don't think it will be like you describe. The very name "Switch" is conned from the ability of the console to work as a hybrid. I simply do not see them making a handheld only version ever. Especially when you consider that the only difference between modes is that one mode is using more electricity.

So what will happen? They make a handheld only sku with a different APU? cut out support for the joycons? Nope, don't see that happening. Ever.

You need start looking at Switch like platform that will have different type of revisions instead of just single hybrid device.

APU will be same, you could cost plenty of things with Switch handheld only, no Dock, no Switch parts needed for docked play, built in controls, smaller device, smaller screen, no HDMI cable (maybe no even charger), smaller package, smaller shipping costs..

 

Shadow1980 said:
Intrinsic said:

So basically the switch needs to sell at least 3M consoles in nov and dec and the PS4 needs to sell less than that for the switch to win. And don't you mean 2014?

Nope. 2015. The way I've aligned things (to the first full second-half period), the Switch's 2017 corresponds to the PS4's 2014, and therefore the Switch's 2018 corresponds to the PS4's 2015.

The PS4 sold 5728k in 2015. The Switch has so far sold 2504k this year, meaning it needs to sell 3224k for the Nov.+Dec. period to keep pace with the PS4's 2015 for the year. That will require YoY growth of roughly 42%. Certainly possible. The BF deals aren't the best, but they and Pokemon Let's Go ought to give November a decent YoY boost, and next month we have Smash, which is sure to move a fair amount of units.

Its not best deal but $300 with must have Switch game is much better than $300 without game compared to last year, its effective use of $60 compared to last year.