PS4 Won October NPD (PS4 > NS > XBO)

[DonFerrari]

Miyamotoo said:

DonFerrari said:

You weren't around pre-launch of this gen from the time of your joining....

There were major discussion and dishing of PS4 wouldn't win and in fact would be last with WiiU doing 100+M (because of Wii success), X1 winning the gen because MS had all the money and X360 showed they could fight and PS4 losing because the strongest console never won a gen, Sony was bankrupt and all.

So just saying PS4 is winning because it's stronger should also have show PS4Pro selling more than vanilla still it's about 20% of total sales after release, X1X should win against all consoles (which we don't see). Yes PS4 get spot discounts on BF, but you are talking about FY15 so it wasn't 199 then it would be a comparison of 299-399 price point of PS4 against Switch 299. And to not forget, last year and also this year during the year PS4 and Switch have been in price parity and still PS4 have been winning all the way until the Holidays (almost at 3M lead) and that is a console on it's 5th year and only one 25% pricecut (this have been the least discounted PS console and the fastest selling almost all the time since launch, and is back at being ahead of PS2 aligned).

Switch will do great numbers, but it won't get to cross 100M imho and if you decide to put the fault on power then you would have to explain why X1X loses to all. Switch success comes much more from the portability than it's falls comes from lack of power, unfortunately you can't have it all.

I get what are you saying, but when you comparing different price points you also need to take in account things that I mentioned. Pro is not crucial, crucial was PS4 beating XB1 in first year, after that evrething was much more easier for PS4. Talking about price point, my point it that even PS4 has still offical price point of $300 you could almost regularly bought it for $200-250 like part of plenty and very often deals. Worth mentione that last and this year are strongest years for PS4.

100m is very achievable for Switch, 80m is bare minimum that Switch will do, I mean Switch will be at around 37m after first two years on market. Actually X1X is main reason XB1 is selling so much better in US this year compared to previous years. Well yeah, and thats why Switch will keep selling despite PS5/XB2 launch.

Sure we have to take everything in consideration. But even so when you start 100 cheaper and basically match the other sales curve you start having less pricecuts available to accelerate, when you have your big hitters come earlier as well.

So it will be a lot harder for Switch to reach a point of year 5 or 6 having sales on level of PS4. As some said, that will deeply depend on they being able to launch SKUs of HH only for like 99-149 and table only for 199 or something of the type on the near future.