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Intrinsic on 20 November 2018
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Mr Puggsly said:
Intrinsic said:

Right now a WD and Crucial 1TB M.2 ssd (sata 3) on amazon is $130.

By 2020 and if prices continue dropping as they have been as the industry has fully jumped onto SSD storage, a 1TB SSD could be as little as $80 on amazon. 

For OEMs that same SSD can cost as little as $40. And it will cost them even less if they opt to solder the chips directly onto the boards.

Right now a 1TB 2.5 inch HDD cost around $57. But costs sony and MS around $25-$30. 

A 1TB HDD is more like $40 on Amazon. $60 should get you 2TB.

But MS and Sony are opting for the 1TB even in their premium consoles. That leads me to believe they will go for whatever the cheaper option is and if they want to go up to 2TB they will lean on a standard HDD.

Nope.... a 1TB is exactly $57 on amazon. Cheapest I saw.

And media jargon aside..... the Pro and the X are not "premium" consoles. They are just what building a $399 and $499 console in 2016 and 2017 respectively would have looked like. Probably the exact same BOM and definately even cheaper with the Pro. In 2013 ~$30 would have got them 500GB, in 2016 it would get them 1TB. Simple as that.

And that cheaper option thing is only if capacity is the driving factor to their storage choice. I don't think it will be. It just can't be. In 2020 using a HDD is like building in a limitation into the console that will define them for the rest of that generation. You think loading times are bad now when only filling 5GB or RAM? How do you think it will be when filling 16-20GB of RAM using a HDD? It aso affects how developers can build their games.

Just stop thinking a 2TB and instead focus on the fact that they have a "storage" budget of around $40. In 2020 $40 will probably be able to get a 2TB HDD but it will also be able to get a 1TB SSD. I believe they would go the SSD route. The ONLY thing using a HDD has got going for it is capacity. And thats a silly thing to focus on if building something that will last for the next 7yrs. Keep in mind... the nintendo switch launched with 32GB of storage....... but out the box they talked up expandable storage and external HDD support.

Last edited by Intrinsic - on 20 November 2018