PS4 Won October NPD (PS4 > NS > XBO)

[colafitte]

Miyamotoo said:

colafitte said:

Let's say we both agree on 11M shipped Oct-December 2018. That means Switch will probably sell around 8-9M minimum until the end of the year (there is always a gap of 2m units between shipments and units sold each year with every console). Switch sold around 7M last year in the same period, so even if it is difficult it may be possible although if you ask me i don't believe Switch will sell 2M more than last year. But then you ask 4M shipments more in the next 3 months, when every year, evey console have yet to sell the consoles shipped left by holiday season. That's too much....

I really think Switch will ship at most 13M, 2M shy of what they need to reach that 20M goal.

But point is that we getting official numbers from Nintendo for shipped consoles and their goal is 20m shipped consoles, so we should stick stick to shipped numbers. Switch last year in Oct-Dec period shipped 7.3m, Switch will not have problem shipping around 10m this year in same time period.

I'm talking shipments too, i said 11M shipped in the last quarter of the year, and 4M more needed to reach thar 20M goal. And I said i don't expect that much shipments in those quarters. And if you give me official number of 7'3M shipped last year, the more i doubt it. Going from 7M to 11M is a lot. I honestly doubt it will happen. Or maybe Nintendo will indeed ship that much, but because they won't sell that much, then in the next quarter they will need to ship less than normal.