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Intrinsic said:
Qwark said:
My estimate would be 1.35 million, the PS4 faces more competition this year.

Competition how? And how has said competition affected the PS4 sales all year round? The PS4 has still managed to win almost every single week in 2018 even with that competition you speak of.

MasonADC said:

I'm not sure there is that much demand for ps4s 

So you really believe there aren't 2.5 people willing to buy the PS4 at $199 plus a free game? More power to you I guess.

ironmanDX said:
Stay level. Switch actually enters the black Friday arena this year. It will be up YoY eating up growth for both of it's competitors.

Switch was also in the black friday arena last year. It has also been in the global arena all of 2018. And has only won globally 3 or so times in all of the weeks of 2018 so far ( and thats even arguable due to adjustments) so I really don't know or see what metric anyone will use to somehow suggest that a console that has managed to win all year so far will suddenly lose when its at its cheapest and with a free game.

 

Anyways to OP, as many have said already this is a stock matter. I am going to go with 1.5M. But if sony has enough stock I don't see 2M being unattainable. 

PS4 has been down YoY and from the NPD tracking thread thus far, it's very clear Pokemon, anticipation for smash and actual bf deals are going to be a big factor this year for the Switch. I fully expect ps4 to beat the Switch on the day though. I just don't expect growth.