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Intrinsic on 16 November 2018
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EricHiggin said:

Intrinsic said:

A year of radio silence isn't a big deal if played right. Firstly sony is still releasing at least 2 games next year. So its not like they aren't doing anything at all.

I think something is clear here. They cannot come and talk about anything new outside what we already know because everything new is on PS5.

And with the right stealth marketing.... a leak here and there, declerations of a great PSX 2019. Sony will firmly still have mind share leading up to PSX 2019 and then all they have to do is announce the PS5 and talk it up a bit and show a couple of trailers. And thats all anyone will be talking about right along side whatever MS shows because I believe at e3 219 MS will show the XB2.

Unfortunately for MS, they require sony to make some realy big stupid mistakes for them to have another 360 effect. That remains to be seen. 

If the PS5 is $500, then it doesn't matter when they announce. That's expensive enough that they won't have to worry that much about people changing their minds about buying a PS4. Most people who will be buying a PS4 holiday 2019, will be people who literally couldn't afford anything higher than a $199 price point, maybe even with a game or two bundled.

The one main way I see PS having any kind of a problem, is if MS launches Scarlet late 2019 for $400, with the PS5 being $500. That seems pretty unlikely though because I think for $500 PS is going to make sure you get your monies worth without question, and unless Scarlet is heavily subsidized, a $400 XB in 2019 won't be enough of a jump for the XB crowd. With XB1X still being relevant at that time, and being at least $100 cheaper, many will upgrade to XB1X instead, and some will stay on XB1X. This doesn't really hurt PS in terms of next gen, as long as Scarlet isn't gaining ground.

Exactly. And I think this is the part people are ignoring. 

Everyone talks about next gen and Price points as if everyone buys into a console at launch price. Whereas there are a lot of factors besides price that makes people buy into consoles. As it stands, we at least know that sony can sell around 30M consoles at a $400 price point ( thats how many consoles sony sold between launch and its first price drop). We also know that majority of sales at those high price points are from the core gamers or fans of a platform. 

So as long as sony makes a great consol, even priced at $500 they can at least sell about 20 of them within their first 18 months on the market. And even if MS decides to launch at $400 its possible sony can bite a $100 loss on each console sold and match the price of the XB2 and coming off the PS4 puts them in a great position to do that.

The PS4 could be just $100 more than an XB1X but over 2-3 times more powerful. I strongly doubt the millions of PS only gamers are going to opt into a cheaper XB1X and shun the PS5. Lets not aso foget the implications of the PS5 being backward compatible.... its an easy sell telling everyone that all their PS4 games will work and look better on the PS5. 

I think its safe to say that barring any massive foot shooting..... Sony will at the very least hold onto their exixting customers. Cause thats really what it will take to shift the tide, sony has to realy f something up.