In progress NPD predicting tool

[Barkley]

kenjab said:

Barkley said:

I'd want to stay away from the site if I was relentlessly targeted.

VGC figures only have 2 weeks so far, but it's already a massive discrepancy (is october a 4 week npd?) VGC has the ratio at 1:0.66 in favour of PS4 over Switch. Has there ever been such a colossal difference between the two before?

Won't be long and we can see if this tool has defeated the site it's hosted on or not.

You can't really compare this tool to the charts week-by-week though, because the tool's job is to look at sales for the whole month.  A big reason for Switch's big lead here was because of the Smash bundle that released on the last Friday of the month, but the preorders were evenly distributed over the whole month in this tool. 

Sure, but as the difference is so massive it seems improbable that the next two weeks numbers could ever put VGC in line with this tool. I'm pretty sure that Bar any adjustments VGC and this Tool are still going to have vastly different ratios once the next two weeks up. (Also my math was wrong VGC has it at 1:0.72 for PS4)

So it will be interesting to see if this tool is the better predictor for NPD positions or not, though this may already have been proven. I've never compared to VGC's estimates in previous months.