September NPD 2018 thread, results up! PS4 421K; NSW 259K; XB1 176K; 3DS 81K

[LipeJJ]

last92 said:

LipeJJ said:

30m is too much, I agree. That's Mario Kart level and I don't think Smash has that much potential. 25m however... I can totally see it reaching it. My prediction has it doing at least 20m LT. We should know pretty quickly tho, as Nintendo will share their holiday results on late January. It will be a great showing of the game's potential.

Isn't ssb a 10-12 mln brand? Why do you think the next one will sell so well?

Yep, it is. Just like Zelda was a 5m~8m brand, but Zelda BotW is already over 10m just a year and a half after release. Same for Splatoon 2, which surpassed the original on the first year, or Xenoblade Chronicles 2, and so on. This is one of the reasons I think the series will grow on Switch: almost everything is growing, and some games are reaching never seen before hights. I mean, Odyssey shipped 9m in a quarter when most 3D Marios end up selling around 10m. Besides, Switch's audience seems more connected to Nintendo games than never, not to mention they're all having awesome legs. Hype is also through the roof and the internet seems to like it a lot.

There are even more reasons, but these are the main ones.

quickrick said:

LipeJJ said:

Yeah, I agree, GOW should do 10m~12m and Spiderman ~15m, so definitely at least 25m.

PS: My prediction has Smash doing at least ~20m.

many people are gonna be very disappointed in smash sales, no it will go over 16 million.

16m is your LT prediction for Smash? Out of curiosity: How much do you think Nintendo will ship on its first month?