Talking about active userbase only reinforces the point that Switch games should outsell PS4 games ;). Of course multiplatforms will take a long time to transition and will possibly never transition. Even in the US when Wii/360 had a massive userbase advantage over PS3, many japanese games sold better on PS3. Userbase and demographics are just too different for PS4 and Switch, it is unlikely that the demographics will change without a big push from either publishers or manufacturers. For example we saw a positive climb with the 360 and pandering to the japanese audience but then a grand collapse when they did the opposite with the XB1.
Not really, my point was simply that in 2014/2015 it wasnt really a 10m vs 1-2m situation like you alluded to.
You're right that the demographics may never move over to Switch but all I'm saying is that it has been a trend that sales of multiplatform titles take awhile to move to newer systems.
For the first couple years of Vita, many mulitplat titles sold as much or more on PSP/PS3.
For the first couple years of PS4, many multiplat titles sold as much or more on PS3/Vita.
So far for NSW, many multiplat titles have sold as much or more on Vita/PS4.
For the first couple years of PS5, many multiplat titles will likely sell as much or more on PS4/NSW.
That was my whole point when responding to the person who said, "By this point in the Switch's lifecycle, I would expect a significant disparity between it and the PS4 when it comes to third party titles releasing on the same day".
When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.