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DélioPT said:

It would be more than nice! If Nintendo wants to really put their foot on that market for good they can't rely on just 1st party games or paid exclusives of that kind - even if for the sole reason that Sony and MS would easily outbid them. That's why change needs to come from within.

I do agree that Switch is different enough to make itself a more than appealing product to Sony and MS users, but we shouldn't overlook how this success came to be.
Do you really believe if there weren't 80+ million PS4 and XB1s sold when Switch came out, that it would have had this level of success?

If the data we have show that, despite 15+ million Switches out there (2017), PS4 and XB1 could still act as if it was nothing, then it's safe to assume that if they aren't choosing Switch over PS4 or XB1 now, despite all the bells and whistles, then the same would happen if they were released around the same time or, that when PS5 and XB2 arrive, there's a real risk of that market simplying opting for the new consoles.

It's really a question of priorities.

The mistake you're making is assuming that people must choose between the Switch and other consoles. Many people buy the Switch *in addition* to another platform, whether that is PS, Xbox, or PC. There is relatively little reason to buy both a PS and Xbox because there is so much overlap between them in game libraries and system capabilities. But Nintendo appeals to the same market in a different way. Their system is portable, but easily upscales to a TV when at home and they offer high-profile games that are exclusive to their system, ie all their first-party titles. They don't have to stop people from buying another console, just convince them that the Switch is also worth owning because it is fun and unique.

Sales of the PS4, Xbox One, and any possible successors don't matter when predicting success for the Switch because Nintendo operates within their own niche instead of directly competing.