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I don't get how your conclusion about the PS4/XB1 can be so different when they share 95% of their libraries, and are so similar.

If too many games require an online connection on Xbox One, the same has to be said for PS4.

Bet with Intrinsic:

The Switch will outsell 3DS (based on VGchartz numbers), according to me, while Intrinsic thinks the opposite will hold true. One month avatar control for the loser's avatar.