I don't get how your conclusion about the PS4/XB1 can be so different when they share 95% of their libraries, and are so similar.
If too many games require an online connection on Xbox One, the same has to be said for PS4.
Bet with Intrinsic:
The Switch will outsell 3DS (based on VGchartz numbers), according to me, while Intrinsic thinks the opposite will hold true. One month avatar control for the loser's avatar.