Pokemon Let’s Go VS Super Smash Ultimate - Which will sell more?

[LipeJJ]

mZuzek said:

Faelco said:

Wow, people saying that Smash will sell 20 millions and that Pokemon Let's Go won't sell at all... I wouldn't be surprised if this thread is necrobumped in a few months/years.
Smash never sold more than 13M even on the Wii, what makes you think that this one will sell 20M on a smaller userbase? And sure, Pokemon let's go is a bit of a mystery, no way to be sure how it's going to sell. But for years you were all like "OMG when Nintendo will finally release a Pokemon game on home console, all console wars will be over, and even world peace will be achieved because the whole world will be united in playing Pokemon"... And now it's not going to sell because you don't like what it looks like?
Maybe Pokemon LG won't sell as much as a regular one, but it could very well sell enough to beat SSB. The marketing for Pokemon already started some time ago in Japan, with trailers being shown all the time on the trains. It's the first time I see this so early before the release date. Nintendo will surely invest more marketing in Pokemon LG, and if it succeeds it will sell more than Smash easily. Pokemon LG has more potential with a bigger fanbase to attract.

Because Smash Bros. Ultimate is already looking like a much better game than Brawl ever did, and it appeals to the audience that actually has/wants a Switch. It's the Switch's biggest release since Odyssey and until Pokémon 8th gen (a two-year window), meaning it has loads of hype around it, too, and it will benefit from the crazy software numbers that basically every game pulls off on the Switch. Also, I'd hardly say it's a smaller userbase when the Switch has every chance of getting to 100m too.

I mean, software sales weren't even that amazing on the Wii to begin with. Most of the system's 10m+ sellers were either a "Wii something" game or a Mario game, everything that was a little more hardcore already sold much worse. Brawl having sold 13m is actually almost a wonder because it just never got that blue ocean appeal, even though they did try to get it by simplifying the game... the audience was simply never there.

By the way, I don't think Let's Go will do poor numbers at all, I think it has plenty of potential. However, I'd say it selling 11 or 12 million is its best case scenario, whereas such sales would be the worst possible scenario for Ultimate, if even possible. Smash Ultimate will just continue to sell for many years, whereas Let's Go will inevitably take a nosedive in sales the moment Pokémon 8th gen is revealed.

Not to mention past numbers don't seem to matter much on Switch. Its like you said already: It's true that Brawl did just about 14m on Wii, but it's also true that Twilight Princess did 7m on it, while Breath of the Wild is at 9.3m on Switch alone. The same is true for other games like Kirby, Xenoblade, etc.

The hype for Smash seems bigger than ever too, and the pre orders seem to corroborate this point.

Last edited by LipeJJ - on 27 August 2018