MasonADC said:
colafitte said:
To be fair, those U4 numbers were units SOLD, not shipped like Mario Odyssey number you said (11M). I already said too that I think U4 should be around 12M sold. Odyssey should be around 10'5m units SOLD after the last number of shipments. Uncharted 4 will sell a little more but I don't think it will reach 15m. So in my opinion, if Super Mario Odyssey sells "around" 15m like I said, i'm already expecting to have more legs than U4, so that can be 14m (not probably), 15m (amazingly accurate for my part) or even more than 16m (very plausible too). But to reach this numbers SMO has to sell 5-6m more in next years before the next one arrives, that's a lot of legs in my opinion. And the same can be said about BOTW. The only way those games keep the pace of this sales is if there isn't a new 3D mario or new 3D Zelda on Switch, and I'm not betting on that.
If SMO ends up selling 15-16m and BOTW around 13-14m that's already a huge improvement for their respective franchises, but this success doesn't need to translate to each Nintendo game, but hey, I will be glad to be wrong.
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3D Mario and Zelda games takes a very long time to make. Will Nintendo go the quick route with a Odyssey 2 or a Majora Mask style Breath of the Wild? I doubt it tbh. I don't think the legs will be cut off to 1 million a year starting next year like you said, especially if they bundle the title and/or put them on Nintendo Selects.
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To be specific, when i said a million a year...(i was too vague on that phrase), i don't mean 1.000.000 sales, i mean a range from 1m to almost 2m on average (and after 2018), so 4-5 million in 3-4 years. Galaxy 2 launched just 3 years after the first one and Skyward Sword 5 years after Twilight Princess. And yes, if Nintendo decides to bundle those games, automatically my prediction becomes a joke, but i don't think Nintendo will do that.
