Yep, looks like Nintendo Switch is preparing itself for holiday months after disappointing Q1(already predicted by Nintendo) SMP+Pokemon+Smash+TornaXC2 are certainly bigger than SMO+XC2.
Octopath did very well according to a lot of expectation here while Zelda:Botw > SMO, but I think the situation may change when it gets closer to the holiday months with Casual > Core.