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He'll most likely get elected for a second term. The US election cycle is like a pendulum and will continuously shift back and forth between the 2 parties. Anything bad that happens during Trump's administration will be used as ammo by the Democrats to discredit the Republicans and this exact cycle will repeat for continuous years with the Republicans trying to discredit the Democrats. This same exact cycle's been going on for over 25 years and it's not going to change anytime soon.