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Regarding those 2 economic indicators...

Every single president had the Dow at an all-time high, during their presidency. Up is the natural direction for the stock market to go...

Also; unemployment has been down yoy every single year since 2010. Between 2004 and 2008. Between 1993 and 2002. That's the direction it generally goes, when you don't currently have a crisis.

I believe that people perhaps somewhat overestimate the true impact that the president can have on the economy... You can balance social distribution / public debt / growth, but the whole that the president can work with is far too chaotic to be associated with his actions, as long as we aren't working within the extremes.

I don't think Trump can be credited for the continued growth in the first 10 months of his presidency; I don't think he can be blamed for the stalling of the market that's happened since. There's a decent chance that a crisis will hit within the next 6 years; and I think that to be quite independent of him getting reelected or not.



Bet with PeH: 

I win if Arms sells over 700 000 units worldwide by the end of 2017.

Bet with WagnerPaiva:

 

I win if Emmanuel Macron wins the french presidential election May 7th 2017.