TWRoO on 20 June 2008
In the first 11 weeks of this FISCAL year they have sold 2.14 million PS3s
If we multiply that by 4 we get 8.56 million (for 44 of the years weeks)
then we have 8 weeks to spread across November and December, which should make an easy 3.5 million sales, bringing the total to 12 million.
That IMO would be a slightly conservative estimate, so it will likely manage closer to, if not over 13 million for the fiscal year.
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Sony are being very conservative in their estimates this time around, perhaps because they fell short of last years they are compensating, and this way they can say they exceeded their target by huge numbers.
