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| colafitte said: Switch have shipped around 30% less than Wii in the same time period right now. Pokemon on Switch will help Switch cut that difference, but still.... I really don't see Switch reaching Wii lifetime sales. Nintendo is probably more focused right now in optimizing software sales and online services so if Switch is capable to reach 70m or 80m consoles sold, it would still be a huge success for them. |
It all depends of the sales curve and legs. Lets look at Wii vs 3DS for example.
Fiscal year 1-5
Wii-86.01
3DS-52.06
Fiscal year 5+
Wii-15.62
3DS-20.83 (still growing)
3DS was getting smashed by Wii in their prime years then Wii sales cratered while 3DS stabilized giving it a longer life. When all is said and done the first 5 fiscal years will represent over 85% of Wii sales and less than 70% of 3DS sales.
If Switch has a sales curve and legs closer to 3DS than it has a shot of matching or surpassing Wii sales.
When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.
