| Amnesia said: Thank you ! I have everything now. |
Every time a read "how successful Switch is" or "Switch is selling like no other" or "Switch is a better console now than Wii was" I just chuckle a little. People have forgotten how big Wii was during 2006-2008. It was not only a better selling console, but it had very good games too during those first years..... Wii Sports, Zelda Twilight Princess, Metroid Prime 3, Super Mario Galaxy, Smash Bros Brawl, Mario Kart Wii... All of them launched in the same period of time Switch will be during half 2019. Wii started as good software wise as Switch but still sold a lot better.
Switch will have its best year in 2019 thanks to Smash Bros and Pokemon 2019, I expect Switch to ship around 20-25 million consoles, but after those games launch It will happen the same thing again that has happened with each Nintendo home console since N64. Nintendo will launch some 1st party games time to time like Metroid Prime 4 or Bayonetta 3, some sequels for Mario or Zelda (all of them surely great games) but the lack of big 3rd party games and the launch of next generation consoles in 2019 or 2020 will drop Switch sales like it happened with Wii after 2010.
Switch have shipped around 30% less than Wii in the same time period right now. Pokemon on Switch will help Switch cut that difference, but still.... I really don't see Switch reaching Wii lifetime sales. Nintendo is probably more focused right now in optimizing software sales and online services so if Switch is capable to reach 70m or 80m consoles sold, it would still be a huge success for them.
And Sony is the same, they prefer to sell 100m consoles at max profit than achieving some impressive number of sales that no one really cares. So PS4 will probably sell 110m-120m at most and then PS5 will arrive and PS4 will disappear quickly like PS3.
