Nintendo is committing a lot of the same lethal mistakes they did with the WiiU, and more.

[The_Liquid_Laser]

zorg1000 said:

The_Liquid_Laser said:

I restate my original point.  Why does the Switch sell so much better than the Wii U, when their game libraries are so similar?  The answer is that it is selling mostly to the handheld market and not the home console market.  Is the Switch's sales curve more like the 3DS or the Wii U?  It's a lot like the 3DS, not only in shape, but more importantly in volume.

In other words, the real question is "who is buying the Switch"?  These customers didn't come from nowhere.  From which existing market did they come from?  Mostly from 3DS owners wanting to move on to the next generation.  

I think trying to narrow it down to a single audience is naive, its a combination of 3DS/Vita/Wii U owners looking to upgrade, PS/XB/PC gamers looking for a secondary device along with lapsed gamers and possibly more.

Markets exist.  This is not just true in the video game industry.  It is true in every industry.  Markets exist.

For example, GM, Ford, Toyota, Honda, etc... are all in the automobile market.  If GM sales go down and Volkswagon sales go up, then the car companies don't panic or just say it's all a random mess that can't be understood.  They say, "Customers are leaving GM and going to Volkswagon".  It's not a random mess that is too complex to analyze.  Instead sales can be stated in simple terms, because people believe that markets exist.

So, what does this have to do with video games?  Video games have their own markets.  Normally there is a home console market for systems like the PS4, XB1 and Wii U.  There is a handheld market for systems like the 3DS and Vita.  PC has its own market as does mobile.

Then along comes the Switch.  This can be a harder system to understand, so it is easier if we go back to models that people have been using a long time now: the home and handheld markets.  Is Switch mostly in the home market or mostly in the handheld market?  Or perhaps it is X% in the home market and (100-X)% in the handheld market?  I hoped we could discuss things in terms of markets.  Your answer to me is that markets don't exist and it is naive of me to think that they do. 

This goes back to my original point I was making to Mnementh.  People don't understand what happened with the Wii U or the Switch or the PS4.  Zorg1000, I actually consider you ahead of the curve when it comes to this stuff.  But now I see that you don't even believe markets exist.  If you don't understand what is going on, then what hope does anyone else have?