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colafitte on 31 July 2018
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DonFerrari said:
colafitte said:
The question people have to start asking is not if PS4 is going to sell 100m or when is going to sell 100m. The question for me, is if PS4 is going to be the fastest console ever to reach 100m sales. Considering is selling faster than PS2 and the fact that Wii started to fall in sales in the same timeframe, my answer is yes and it will be a record difficult to beat. A huge milestone.

First year of Switch a lot were betting Switch would outsell PS4 and aligned it would keep outselling all the time.

Oh!, I'm sure Switch is going to sell a lot in its 3 first years...even surpassing PS4 sales. But to reach 100m sales lifetime, this requires a level of consistency beyond the third or fourth year of the console that no Nintendo home console has ever had before. Nintendo is the best developer in the world and their games some of the best selling ones, but their consoles are designed to serve as the best way of selling their own software. People buy the most famous Nintendo games and play them through the life of the console and for diverse reasons don't play other famous 3rd party games in those consoles. Nintendo basically can't compete with the library of PS consoles and that's why each PS home console has sold more than 80m. Despite some success with very good indie games, Switch is still lacking the biggest 3rd party games and when the next PS or Xbox reveals, Switch will become even more obsolete for 3rd parties than now. When PS5/XBox Two launch in 2019/2020 i'm pretty sure it will affect Switch and will slow the sales of the console. Despite all of this I expect Switch to sell around 70m-80m lifetime, a very good number of sales for a home console in my opinion.

Last edited by colafitte - on 31 July 2018