| Jon-Erich said: In this geopolitical shift, we're going to see the US starting to back away from Europe and the Middle East while developing closer relations East Asia and probably Central and South America. Also, one of two things are going to happen. Either the US will improve relations with Russia while relations with China get worse or they're going to improve relations with China while relations with Russia get worse. I have a feeling that Trump may be gambling on Russia, which makes sense. If you don't have a problem with Russia, there would be no need to spends billions of dollars building up a NATO military presence along Russian borders. That would allow the US to use more of their resources in East Asia to counter China. With everything that has been going on over the last few years with both Obama and Trump being critical of NATO and with the sudden shift in US-North Korean relations, I think we're in the beginning of the biggest geopolitical shift since the end of the Second World War. |
You've forgotten about India. For the sake of democracy, we can only hope that Indian democracy gets stronger and that India continues to rise and develop to counter China, while Russia continues to falter and sink into irrelevancy. Continued cooperation with Europe can stave off Russia, while increased cooperation and development of India can counter China, with the help of Japan and South Korea. I'm not convinced that anything concrete has happened with North Korea, though hopefully tensions are decreased for the time being. If China ever democratizes, something that I wouldn't write off as impossible, greater cooperation with China might be possible. Regardless, writing off India as irrelevant in this scenario would be foolish. They have more people, a younger population, and a democracy that seems to be getting better even as those around the world decline.
