While your list seems plausible, sony would actually try and avoid doing that. Too many system sellers all within one year? Thats just bad business right there.
I won't be surprised to see all those games within the first two or three years of the consoles release though.
One thing for certain though is that I expect GT7 and Horizon 2 to be launch year titles. Following year we wull get GOW2. There will be a couple of other smaller titles from their studios and at least one whole new IP.