| CGI-Quality said: G6 doesn't have to be HBM (not sure why you made the connection, anyway). Next, yeah, I do keep saying that a 16GB increase is unprecedented (512MB - 8GB is still not a 16GB jump). You, like a few others, continue to ignore costs (no matter how you spin it, you have). The market is not there for such increases, especially with this new technology. Those machines are already well underway. We don't even have 16GB consumer-grade GPUs. We're going to suddenly get a 24GB console in a matter of two years? Doubtful. So, as "feasible" as it could be (no one said impossible), I don't expect it. |
I made the connection to HBM because of just how much more expensive and complicated HBM is to GDDR5.
And I actually did not ignore costs.... I can't say with any emphasis how much more GDDR6 will cost over GDDR5, but neither can you. What I do know is that as of 2017 GDDR5 was estimated to cost OEMs around $6.50/GB. I also know that the cost of the PS4s GDDR5 ram was estimated to be around $88. Which in 2013 meant sony was spending $5.50/512MB chip.
That means that sony was spending $11/GB in 2013 and as little as $6.50/GB now. So the qestion is really how much more costly will GDDR6 in 2020 be to GDDR5x. I strongly doubt that GDDR6 will cost more than $18/module(2GB) in 2020. And lets not forget there are even different types of GDDR6 with regards to how much bandwith they would allow per pin. Which means that not all 24GB of GDDR6 is the same......
And while those consoles are well underway as far as R&D goes, I am sure you know that multiple interations of the hardware is designed during R&D.
