| CGI-Quality said: Prices aren't going down fast enough. You have to understand how this goes, beyond mere guesses. For 24GB of RAM (at least - and we're talking G5X or G6, not the cheaper DDR4 and upcoming DDR5 ) in any future console, in the amount of time you expect this (an unprecedented amount, for any console generation jump mind you - 16GB additional), that process would have had to start already. GPU manufacturers have also slowed development of their cards. That is one of the biggest factors. Of course i am mere guessing because no math can be used to determine future consoles ever, especially when this prediction is just for fun will not directly impact real PS5 development . Also we already have 16 GB HBM2 GPU from last year on Vega 64 with price around 500 to 600 USD. And also GPU manufacture is not slowing down it's just that AMD are focusing on mainstream and because of that Nvidia are becoming lazy. You're looking at a 16GB G6 console at most. I can see Xbox being higher (thanks to the 4GB advantage the X has on the Pro), but the same mathematical logic applies. You're not going to suddenly get 28GB of RAM in the next system. We don't even have Game-ready GPUs on PC at that amount. The Titan Xp and V are the most powerful gaming cards around. How much RAM (both G5X and HBM 2 respectively)? 12GB. Next gen consoles have long been in production. Once that process began, RAM amount considerations were made, as devs always focus on that first. They know the market better than you or I and they know that, unless RAM prices see a significant (this is important) reduction in costs, then you will not be seeing a 24-28GB launch home console. 16 GB GDDR6 is possible if they are pushing PS5 to 2019 release date, but if they able to hold until 2020 or 2021 that we might see more ram able to fit in, we also need to considered that consoles GPU pricing are different from desktop GPU. Iterative consoles? That's another matter, but that will also depend on speed of reduction. Take it from a guy who happily buys lots of RAM. I'm sitting on 64GB of DDR4 because adding an additional 6$, as had planned to do in February, would have cost me $800. 32GB of RAM cost, on average, $360 right now. That would need to drop significantly (and soon) for what you want to occur. That's why my prediction can be different next year depend on how the price of ram goes. |
