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nemo37 said:
quickrick said:

your going back 6 months or over which fall in line with my cliff comments. I thought switch would lose by near 100k it was 50k i was wrong about that, of course i'm not perfect, there was nothing insane though about those predictions. As for smash i think it will do around 10-12 million it won't be the second coming, pokemon go probably do 6-8 milllion. 

A game that sells 10-12 million units, particularly an evergreen game like Smash, should be able to seriously push some hardware units. Let's Go Pokemon (which I still see you refer to as Pokemon Go, despite, again it being more of Yellow remake with two mechanics from Pokemon Go included), is a bit more uncertain. I am currently more conservative about and my predictions with that one and hence my prediction here is more in line with yours (I am generally in the  5-7 million camp right now), but I still see it capable of moving hardware (I personally know a number of Pokemon fans that were waiting for a Pokemon game to get a Switch, some of them bought one on the day of the announcements while others now are planning to get one at or slightly before the games release; this anecdotal, however, hence why I am not quite ready to become more bullish on these games yet).

I think Smash + Pokemon Let's Go (even though its effect is not as certain as a mainline title) + evergreen titles/support titles should help keep Switch close to the last year's holiday sales (because I am uncertain about Pokemon yet...I will say it may be a bit below last year). If Nintendo does announce more exclusives and/or games that may not be exclsuive but would benefit from the system's portability at E3, then I think they may be able to surpass last year (of course I am a bit skeptical on that at this point, until we actually get the announcements).

OK so were basically thinking the same in terms of sales, i'm just not thinking this years line up is the second coming like most people do, still think last year line looks  much better.