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I'm not sure. I think many people are underestimating the combined effect of spiderman, kh3 and rdr2. It all depends on how aggressive Sony will be during this holiday season. Switch and PS4 will probably be close, but a good price cut for the ps4 slim may do wonders. Also, I'm still not convinced that pokemon let's go will appeal to many of those who downloaded the (free) game on their smartphones. I guess we'll have to wait and see. Still, neither Sony nor Nintendo will dominate the holiday season. They'll both do great.