| zorg1000 said:
The April 2015 NPD thread. Who cares? We are also comparing a 1.8tflop, 8gb RAM, 500gb HDD console with a bunch of multimedia functions (dvd/blu-ray, streaming apps) vs a console with a fraction the power, storage & non-gaming features. Both are/were priced appropriately. |
Okay, couldn't find that thread. A lot of people care about $100. If the Switch was $100 more, but worth it for the specs you get, you can guarantee that the sales would still be much lower.
Miyamotoo said:
But going buy that point it's impossible that PS4 will sell better than Wii also!? :) Best selling PS4 April before this one was 206k and in its second one sold basically same like PS4, 175k. |
Except that the PS4 is a Playstation. They have different sales trajectories. Nintendo normally is more frontloaded, while the Playstation has longer legs.
Nintendo
| System | % of sales first 3 years | % of sales remaining years |
| N64 | 73.2% | 26.8% |
| GBA | 59.2% | 40.8% |
| GC | 71.2% | 28.8% |
| DS | 42.1% | 57.9% |
| Wii | 66.4% | 33.6% |
| 3DS | 57.8% (projected 75M) | 42.2% (projected 75M) |
| Wii U | 92.9% | 7.1% |
Sony
| System | % of sales first 3 years | % of sales remaining years |
| PS1 | 44.9% | 55.1% |
| PS2 | 41.9% | 58.1% |
| PSP | 53% | 47% |
| PS3 | 41.2% | 58.8% |
| PSV | 62.5% | 37.5% |
So, the average for Sony is 48.7% for the first 3 years, while it is 66.1% for Nintendo. Personally, I think Nintendo will sell ~18M, more likely. Maybe 19M-20M next fiscal year, when it hits $199. But, then I think we are going to see that more frontloaded behavior kick in and see it hit ~85M in the end. And using PS's average, PS4 should hit ~120M. ~135M if we use just the home console average.
| kirby007 said:
|
Damn you, Switch and XBO for underperforming my expectations! 
Essay Pro