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Miyamotoo on 18 May 2018
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LethalP said:
Miyamotoo said:

More games obviously in any case, more Pokemon, more 3D Zelda, more 3D Mario, more new IPs, more old IPs, more 3rd party exclusives, more spin offs, more 3rd party support, more ports/remasters...remember, Switch is becoming only Nintendo platform they need to support so support will be much easier and they can easily try more different and new thing. Hardware revisions also always boost sales. Than you also have revisions, bundles, price cuts...

Talking about biggest Nintendo IPs, This year will probably have Pokemon and Smash Bros, next we could have Animal Crossing and 2D Mario, next again Pokemon and 3D Mario...after that 3D Zelda and new Mario Kart..

I'll make this much clear to you. I think the Switch is going to reach 90+ million lifetime. It's going to be a huge success. It's going to accumalate a must have library in these next few years and is already well on it's way doing that. I'm not a Nintendo doom and gloom artist. 

All I'm saying is this whole dream of the Switch handing PS4 it's gizzards is going to be abruptly interrupted. If people are expecting the PS4 to sell 16-18 million this year where it's already beating Switch handily, and probably will until the fall at the very least. What exactly are people expecting Smash and Pokemon to do? Push 7-8 million hardware units in the holidays? And somehow PS4 will drop the ball even though they have Spider-Man, Red Dead, CoD and shit?

Pokemon might even be the best selling game this year, but even then It doesn't garuntee hardware sales will push past PS4, maybe in the given month of release, but not the whole year.

IT early to say how much Switch will sell at end that depends from many factors, including life span and number of revisions, but at end of this year will be easily at 30m+.

PS4 sales are irelevent when we talk about Switch sales. FY 2018. starts in April 2018. and ending on 31. March 2019. So how PS4 and Switch until now (its only counts April) doesnt relly matter especially because Switch will start getting stronger titles later from June. Last year in October-December quarter Switch sold around 7m, you can bet that Pokemon would push that number for same period easily above 7m.

There is reason why Sony expecting that PS4 will sell 16m and why Nintendo expecting that Switch sell 20m, Smash Bros and Pokemon would whitout problem push Switch to 20m in FY 2018. because we talk about one of Nintendo biggest system seller games.

Last edited by Miyamotoo - on 18 May 2018