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LethalP on 18 May 2018
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Miyamotoo said:
LethalP said:

That's probable, but my point is, assuming the Switch is replaced in 7 years with more support during those latter years than what the Wii got, what's going to keep driving interest? Will there be a long lasting novelty? Will Nintendo have enough momentum in between Pokemon releases? Is there a large enough stream of significant releases for the Switch to pace out a year?

More games obviously in any case, more Pokemon, more 3D Zelda, more 3D Mario, more new IPs, more old IPs, more 3rd party exclusives, more spin offs, more 3rd party support, more ports/remasters...remember, Switch is becoming only Nintendo platform they need to support so support will be much easier and they can easily try more different and new thing. Hardware revisions also always boost sales. Than you also have revisions, bundles, price cuts...

Talking about biggest Nintendo IPs, This year will probably have Pokemon and Smash Bros, next we could have Animal Crossing and 2D Mario, next again Pokemon and 3D Mario...after that 3D Zelda and new Mario Kart..

I'll make this much clear to you. I think the Switch is going to reach 90+ million lifetime. It's going to be a huge success. It's going to accumalate a must have library in these next few years and is already well on it's way doing that. I'm not a Nintendo doom and gloom artist. 

All I'm saying is this whole dream of the Switch handing PS4 it's gizzards is going to be abruptly interrupted. If people are expecting the PS4 to sell 16-18 million this year where it's already beating Switch handily, and probably will until the fall at the very least. What exactly are people expecting Smash and Pokemon to do? Push 7-8 million hardware units in the holidays? And somehow PS4 will drop the ball even though they have Spider-Man, Red Dead, CoD and shit?

Pokemon might even be the best selling game this year, but even then It doesn't garuntee hardware sales will push past PS4, maybe in the given month of release, but not the whole year.