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520k?

I expect no less than 1 million.

You guys underestimate LBP.

I'm one of the ones who's been predicting big things for LBP from the start, but even I'm not expecting a massive launch. The OP's estimate seems like a pretty fair one, or maybe a little high. LBP is going to get its numbers from slow and steady sales, maybe all the way to the end of the PS3's life. A holiday bundle with the 40gb PS3 (or its equivalent at the time) also seems like a good potential move.