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CrazyGamer2017 said:

This is tricky by nature and all we can do is venture a guess. So here is mine:

I think the Switch will calm down a bit in sales this second year, the only "big gun" left to be released now is Metroid Prime 4

This first year it sold what again? 14 million units, give or take?

So I will go with 9 - 10 million units this second year. Less does not seem realistic as the Switch definitely has traction. More is possible if other big guns appear.

Let's wait and see what the real figures will be. But I say 24 - 25 million Switches sold in total by early March 2019.

1.This isn't what the OP is asking.

2. What about smash, pokemon, animal crossing, or 2d Mario. I would be surprised if Metroid Prime 4 can reach 4 million units.