quickrick said:
RolStoppable said:
Your bias played a trick on you. You saw a bunch of predictions that had Switch ahead by more than one million units, got upset by that and subsequently started to believe that it's a widespread opinion that Switch will destroy the PS4 in 2018. Remember, the whole "fall of a cliff" meme also came to be because you overreacted.
Here are the ResetEra predictions:
| PS4 |
Switch |
Xbox One |
| 6500 |
5300 |
4100 |
| 5600 |
6100 |
4000 |
| 5610 |
5500 |
4400 |
| 4800 |
6500 |
4000 |
| 5800 |
6000 |
4000 |
| 5750 |
6150 |
4200 |
| 5250 |
5500 |
4350 |
| 5200 |
6300 |
4700 |
| 6500 |
5700 |
4100 |
| 5600 |
6200 |
3500 |
| 5800 |
5200 |
4100 |
| 5600 |
5400 |
3990 |
| 5700 |
6300 |
3700 |
| 5678 |
5432 |
3456 |
| 4900 |
5450 |
3950 |
| 5030 |
5400 |
3850 |
| 5900 |
6500 |
3900 |
| 5000 |
6000 |
3850 |
| 5820 |
5650 |
3850 |
| 5500 |
6000 |
5501 |
| 5780 |
7000 |
3475 |
| 5450 |
8360 |
3900 |
| 6000 |
6100 |
3900 |
| 5700 |
6200 |
3700 |
| 5200 |
4500 |
4300 |
| 5100 |
7500 |
3500 |
| 5500 |
6000 |
3800 |
| 6000 |
7500 |
4000 |
| 7000 |
5500 |
4000 |
| 5760 |
5000 |
4080 |
| 5400 |
6700 |
4250 |
| 5600 |
7100 |
4600 |
| 6700 |
6700 |
4100 |
| 5000 |
6250 |
5000 |
| 5200 |
5500 |
4500 |
| 4750 |
5850 |
3850 |
| 5700 |
6500 |
4100 |
| 5400 |
5600 |
3900 |
| 5800 |
6100 |
4200 |
| 5010 |
7750 |
3780 |
| 5750 |
6600 |
4000 |
| 5318 |
5368 |
4169 |
| 4800 |
6000 |
4300 |
| 5100 |
4800 |
4200 |
| 5000 |
6250 |
3750 |
| 5500 |
6000 |
3700 |
| 4914 |
4392 |
4129 |
| 6500 |
7500 |
4200 |
| 5700 |
5500 |
3800 |
| 5555 |
6666 |
4444 |
| 3900 |
7200 |
2900 |
| 4100 |
6000 |
4250 |
| 5340 |
6320 |
3980 |
| 4907 |
6707 |
4307 |
| 10000 |
6000 |
6100 |
| 5600 |
6200 |
4200 |
| 5950 |
5200 |
3500 |
| 5800 |
7800 |
3500 |
| 5940 |
6370 |
3510 |
| 5100 |
6600 |
3900 |
| 5550 |
8000 |
4500 |
| 6500 |
6000 |
3700 |
| 5450 |
6750 |
3980 |
| 4850 |
6100 |
3650 |
| 6250 |
5750 |
4725 |
| 5320 |
7100 |
3400 |
| 6100 |
7200 |
3800 |
| 5300 |
6100 |
3900 |
| 4900 |
5800 |
4400 |
| 5880 |
6861 |
3899 |
| 4850 |
6200 |
4220 |
| 5200 |
6400 |
4100 |
| 6000 |
7750 |
5000 |
| 5250 |
6900 |
4050 |
| 6200 |
6500 |
3800 |
| 6000 |
4400 |
4550 |
| 5350 |
6050 |
3750 |
| 5341 |
4525 |
6489 |
| 5002 |
6801 |
3903 |
| 5550 |
6640 |
3970 |
| 5850 |
6350 |
4000 |
| 5500 |
6650 |
4100 |
| 6500 |
6000 |
3500 |
| 5665 |
6255 |
4445 |
| 5100 |
7250 |
4400 |
| 5750 |
6030 |
3930 |
| 5576,40 |
6210,78 |
4086,42 |
The ResetEra consensus is that Switch wins by a good 600k units in 2018 or sells about 12% more. The consensus was not that Switch will destroy the PS4, because the margin of victory is too small to draw such a conclusion.
Generalisations are bad. They remove accountability while at the same time they commonly misrepresent a situation; at times it's deliberate, but it's also possible to happen without any ill-intentions. Throwing out an accusation is very easy by means of a generalisation. It's bad enough when it's done within the confines of the VGC community, but using another website's community as a scapegoat to claim heavy Nintendo bias is much worse. As it turns out, not even that is true, so your claims and subsequent defense of them have been especially bad.
|
sure if you combine everything it looks better, but out of 60 predictions, i counted like like 48 votes out of 60 i think, that had switch over by around 800k-1.5 million, to me that is destroying and would basically mean switch has to win almost have to win every npd to achieve this.
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Drawing from a smaller group of numbers will probably give you a vastly different result but it doesn't really matter. Winning the whole year by 1 million still wouldn't be proper dominating the competition over the course of a year.
And as a whole it's 600K so your point doesn't really matter.
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