Insomniac is an independent developer, "indie" for short.
Since when does indie mean a 5-10 person studio? There was never such a rule.
CDprojectred is also an indie developer, as well.
Bet with Intrinsic:
The Switch will outsell 3DS (based on VGchartz numbers), according to me, while Intrinsic thinks the opposite will hold true. One month avatar control for the loser's avatar.