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I believe that you are responsible for any damage that you knowingly cause, be it emotional or otherwise.

To clarify: I define "damage" here as the difference of expected values to the optimal course of action.

You are allowed to include yourself in the calculation. 



Bet with PeH: 

I win if Arms sells over 700 000 units worldwide by the end of 2017.

Bet with WagnerPaiva:

 

I win if Emmanuel Macron wins the french presidential election May 7th 2017.