What will be the Best Selling Game This Year?

[Kristof81]

Ka-pi96 said:

Kristof81 said:
If BO4 turns out to be very decent and we see Switch port, I'd say BO4. WWII sold over 17 million and I don't see new BO selling less than that. Unless ... we see Pokemon for Switch in 2018. That might change everything. I honestly don't think that RDR2 will reach CoD numbers this year, but it will have legs.

It wouldn`t. Pokemon would need a big increase in sales over the last 2 generations in order to challenge COD and not only is a sudden jump like that difficult in the first place, the limited Switch install base will make it even harder. It would need a 50% attach rate at minimum, and while Zelda etc may have had very impressive attach rates, that was at launch, doing that on a console that will be coming up to 2 years old is pretty much unheard of.

Yes, you're right. I've checked X/Y sales figures (which sold 10mil copies in its first 3 months), not realising that it was released in 2013 not 2012. In that case the actual attach rate was 25%, not 39% like I initially thought. My bad.