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NoCtiS_NoX said:
thismeintiel said:

Sony could 100% handle launching a year later. They have before. No, what hurt the PS3 is not only did they launch at $200 more expensive, but the custom HW was so complicated for devs early on that the 3rd party games didn't even take advantage of the extra horsepower for years to come. Had the PS3 been able to launch at $399 and devs could have taken advantage of the power within months, instead of years, it would have absolutely crushed the 360.

Well, you cannot deny how MS is really aggressive from the get go when 360 launch. Buying exclusive left and right whether timed or full. Making the PS exclusive multi-plat. Even if PS3 was priced right. They let MS to have 1 year headstart where 3rd party was able to have a fanbase for their games and Sony cannot let the COD/Battlefield, GTA crowd to built a fanbase on the new box for a year. You cannot underestimate the effect of COD/FPS crowd.

 

And even with them being aggressive, they still came in 3rd. MS has never won a gen, nor will it. It took Sony fucking up majorly for them to take that close 3rd. That's just how big the PS brand is. How likely is it that Sony fucks up that big again? They would have to come out a year later, which in itself doesn't matter, with only slightly more powerful HW and a launch price $200 more than MS, but 3rd party games looking worse for a year or so due to complicated HW, to screw up that big, again.

Also, it's pretty obvious that MS doesn't care about Xbox like they did in the 360 days, so they aren't going to be paying millions to gobble up exclusives and marketing rights. Maybe the first year, but once it becomes clear that the PS5 is selling very well, the price to keep things off of PS goes up incredibly. Besides, it didn't help them stay ahead last gen, and it isn't going to help much next gen with Sony firing, once again, on all cylinders. I mean worst case scenario, the PS5 is slightly less powerful, but costs the same as the XB2, and a couple big games come out first on the XB2. That's not going to hurt its sales at all.

As for COD, it became very clear that the audience was split pretty close to 50/50 later in the gen, with NA being skewed 360 and EU/Japan skewing PS3, so exclusive marketing rights and early DLC isn't that big a factor. Of course, we'll also see if MS wants to continue paying for them as the price to do so rises. 

Last edited by thismeintiel - on 10 March 2018