| Megiddo said: I agree. I just wish Nintendo was a little bit more visible about their future plans so I could see just where they think the momentum will build up from. But they've shown to be very capable with the Switch so I guess we'll just have to wait and see what they have planned. @All I do apologize, I was just attempting an estimate. I do realize that holidays will drive up sales, but Japan has so far (according to VG Chartz) accounted for around a quarter of the Switch's sales. So expecting 4-5 million of the 20 million goal to be from Japan isn't unrealistic I don't think. |
I also wish Nintendo would be more transparent about their major titles for this year - that strategy worked well last year, it was clear from January what most of the major titles were, and there was still plenty of room for new announcements from Nintendo and, moreso, third parties to flesh the release schedule out. Labo is quite clearly a big test for Nintendo and Switch, but not a crucial one. If it flops, Switch is already well-established and still has a number of system-selling titles pushing hardware sales - I expect that's why Labo is out in April, at the start of the financial year. If it flops, they have time to bring projects forward and adjust. If it succeeds, then great, the new financial year is off to a strong start.
Personally I suspect Nintendo do have more big titles planned - and safer bets than Labo, which remains something of an unknown quantity. I would guess they'll be pushing to have Pokemon out the door in time for Christmas, with (potentially) a new Animal Crossing and Smash Bros 4 DX out before then. Right now roughly ~15% of the year has passed, and Nintendo are around 10% towards the lower-end of where they'd need Japanese sales to be. With holidays and software boosts to come, that's not a bad position to be in.
