| flashfire926 said: My lifetime estimates for Switch is 90-95M at this moment (due to nintendo replacing their consoles fairly quickly), so PS4 by default. |
I don't agree with Nintendo replacing consoles quickly. Most of their consoles release when the competition does. The only short ones was the GBA and Wii U.
Nintendo has been talking about letting the Switch last longer than the normal 5 to 6 years already. It sounds like they want a short lifespan. Also I the 3DS --> Switch lifespan is 6 years. That is a normal lifespan for a console. The Wii U --> Switch is only short because Nintendo combined the home and handheld console hardware.
I just don't see Nintendo releasing a new console soon. The Switch is already a really powerful handheld. Probably the strongest they can make it right now. I just don't see how they can justify a new console so soon unless they come up with some crazy good idea. If Nintendo is just going to release a more powerful Switch than it is best to wait at least 6 years from now. I.E not a short lifespan.
So 100 million should be more than doable unless Nintendo decides to make a lot of bad mistakes.
