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AngryLittleAlchemist on 13 February 2018
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dx11332sega said:
AngryLittleAlchemist said:
If the Switch is out for 7 years or more, than it will max out at 25 million peak year. If the Switch is a regular 6 year console, it will max out at 30 million peak year. This is because I want my prediction to come true so I have to cover my tracks and weak spots to be right.

I think the first generation of Pokemon on the Switch won't be the system's peak year. If any year where a Pokemon game comes out was to be the peak year, it will probably be the year we get a 2nd Pokemon title on Switch.

I haven't thought of that probably Pokemon 2nd game probably? 

I think I forgot to explain myself a little bit ... 

I think there's some info out there (?) that Nintendo consoles often hit their peak in their 2nd year (very early!) or third year (somewhat almost normal). I can't remember if that's mostly exclusive to their home consoles(I think it is for the most part), I haven't looked in a while, but that would make sense. I think though, that there's a lot to consider with the Switch. This year, we probably won't get any price cuts or new models. We might see special price cuts at select retailers in certain locations only, but that would probably be only during black friday and it probably wouldn't be something Nintendo would heavily advertise. So the Switch is still going to be 300$ with no other models out there. 

If a Pokemon game comes out this year, then there's a chance the next game in the series will come out during a period where the Switch has at least two different models, probably at least one significant price cut, and it will probably launch the same year as the next Mario Kart. 

Honestly this all gets very confusing because it has a lot to do with what Pokemon game is coming out (remake vs new) and when ALL of the Pokemon games come out in the first place. If the first Pokemon game comes out holiday next year ... I could see next year being the peak, too. I think though, even if Pokemon Switch 1 comes out this year, it won't be the peak year.