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Okay, so far, maybe 7 years total in Germany, a year in France, maybe 6 months in Austria, 4 months in China, 3 months in the US, perhaps 6-8 months in rest of Europe, perhaps 6-8 months in rest of the world, excluding Canada, where I currently reside.



Bet with PeH: 

I win if Arms sells over 700 000 units worldwide by the end of 2017.

Bet with WagnerPaiva:

 

I win if Emmanuel Macron wins the french presidential election May 7th 2017.