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Jaxyfoo on 03 February 2018
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xMetroid said:
Jaxyfoo said:
The difference in November was about 800k between the 2 consoles. It would prove my suspicions fully if the Switch was above PS4 then....

I'm not using this argument to attack the Switch. I come from a position of owning one, and having lots of friends who own one. I can see the kind of people who are buying one. Quite a few people I know, I figured were gone from the gaming cycle after going from WIi to phone/tablet gaming. It's nice to see none gamers come back. I hope that doesn't mean a tonne of shovelware party games every month.

No attacks, just a growing feeling that Amazon's predictive powers have been gazumped by the Switch. I simply think Amazon shows about 20% of Nintendo's sales. With PS4/XB1 about 6-8%, and Software maybe a little higher.

Again, November is driven by black friday sales which is mainly bought in stores and not on amazon. 

You are having a different argument with my points than I am making.  I remember November clearly, and Amazon in no way showed there would be anything like that gap.  It was purely down to some of the insiders on Resetera that gave the idea that the difference might be so big.

 

A number of times Amazon showed a bigger gap than NPD came up with.  In fairness there were also times where XB and PS4 were light years apart, but close on NPD.  That's not how Amazon really works though.  It has been a case that the sample size has just about managed to get a hugely impressive success rate for NPD winners.

 

All I am saying full stop, is that I believe the Switch has done something to throw off what we (might) see for the year.  Nothing more.  It is only a Suspicion based on watching how the past 10 months have played out.