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SpokenTruth said:
Q3 shipments dropped from 9.7 million in 2016 to 9 million in 2017 despite the $199 PS4. Given that information, I'm not so certain 2018 will be a new peak year. Any drops won't be significant though. Does anyone have the Q1-3 numbers for 2016 and 2017?

"The $199 PS4" was only in the US for 10 days and it was sold out during that time.  The drop in shipments can be attributed to the deal not being available worldwide (because Sony would not been able to meet demand).