| leo-j said: You have to remember.. Not everyone wants a wii, you have to consider what would happen if nintendo do happen to hit demand. Ive said it many times before, you cant predict any trends, nor predict if the wii will hit demand any time soon, its not something that you can predict. |
And not everyone wants a PS3... And if Nintendo would happen to hit demand, it would simply mean the Wii would longer be sold out. It's not like sales will just fall to nothing, because that's not how sales trends work. You don't just suddenly "meet demand" after being sold out for nearly 2 years now, and then have demand just fall off the face of the Earth. That's just not how it works.
And sooner or later (and it's going to be later it seems), the Wii will no longer be sold out, and will be available easily and regularly everywhere. This has happened in Japan completely, and 95% of Others is regularly supplied, and sales haven't nosedived. It's still to happen in the Americas though, but I doubt that once that magical "no longer sold out" event occurs, sales will plummet. It just doesn't work like that.
I do have a feeling that once the Wii is regularly in stock, sales will tumble a bit, for a couple reasons. For starters, people won't be so desparate to get one as soon as they see one. Right now, if you can get your hands on it, you buy it. No questions asked. Also, I have a feeling that once it's no longer profitable to sell the things on eBay, those buyers won't be buying up as much of the stock as they are now, though I would think the number of consoles sold this way is small. Though even when this happens I expect weekly sales to be greater than 150k, if not in the 200-250k range.
@OP - I think 600k would be the absolute max for weekly sales. Right now, we can say that Japan is about 50k a week, Others is 150k a week, so Americas would have to make up the difference of that, which would be about 400k. I think that might be a bit high for a normal, non-big game release week. I would expect that the regularly weekly sales by region would be: Japan 50k, Others 150k, and America 200k, for a WW weekly average of about 400k.
